As Nicola Sturgeon 'waits' for a diverse pro-yes majority to emerge, the data suggests demographics aren't destiny and Scottish Labour is posed to make inroads into the SNP's electoral coalition
I've long believed that there is a significant chunk of the 'yes' block vote in Scotland which could accurately be described as 'yes...but not now'. A very soft middle class 'yes' voter group who will always balk at the prospect of truly winning independence, for 10-15% of SNP voters are likely always going to privately think 'I fancy independence...but not now...later'...
Oh I agree, nothing has infuriated me more than having my Brexit remain vote hi-jacked by Sturgeon and Co! As you say, hopefully with time that will fade.
I believe that you are right about this, also I am sure that you may be familiar with Effie Deans work, she always maintained that Brexit would make it even more difficult to argue the case for ‘Scexit’, I am beginning to think that she may have been right and that this is having and effect too.
Brexit would always mean the border issue would become much more tangible, and iScotland would land itself outside the UK union and the European Union, much harder sell. *But* the unfortunate thing about brexit is that it split the 'no' vote (the 16.6% no - to -yes switch since 2014 is (I reckon) 'no' voters who are quite pro-EU. This has provided the SNP with a handy rhetorical wedge issue to divide and rule the opposition to a slight degree...but it will fade over time as voters move on past brexit.
Excellent as usual, thank you! Perhaps cause for some quiet optimism starting to grow roots 👍👍
I've long believed that there is a significant chunk of the 'yes' block vote in Scotland which could accurately be described as 'yes...but not now'. A very soft middle class 'yes' voter group who will always balk at the prospect of truly winning independence, for 10-15% of SNP voters are likely always going to privately think 'I fancy independence...but not now...later'...
Oh I agree, nothing has infuriated me more than having my Brexit remain vote hi-jacked by Sturgeon and Co! As you say, hopefully with time that will fade.
I believe that you are right about this, also I am sure that you may be familiar with Effie Deans work, she always maintained that Brexit would make it even more difficult to argue the case for ‘Scexit’, I am beginning to think that she may have been right and that this is having and effect too.
Brexit would always mean the border issue would become much more tangible, and iScotland would land itself outside the UK union and the European Union, much harder sell. *But* the unfortunate thing about brexit is that it split the 'no' vote (the 16.6% no - to -yes switch since 2014 is (I reckon) 'no' voters who are quite pro-EU. This has provided the SNP with a handy rhetorical wedge issue to divide and rule the opposition to a slight degree...but it will fade over time as voters move on past brexit.